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๐ BTC Dominance (BTC.D) Technical Analysis
Hello everyone,
As we have emphasized in our previous analyses, BTC Dominance (BTC.D) has been in a major uptrend since December. Recently, it reached the critical lower boundary of this trend channel, which weโve been monitoring closely.
โ We highlighted the importance of this level multiple times:
If BTC.D were to bounce from this trend support, it would strengthen dominance and create downward pressure on altcoins. However, a breakdown below this level would trigger relief and momentum within the altcoin market.
๐ป And that breakdown finally occurred three days ago.
๐ First, the 64.60 level was broken to the downside.
๐ Then, the price continued downwards, breaking the 63.72 support, and has now lost the 62.78 level as well.
Currently, BTC.D is trading below 62.78. If we see a daily candle close below 62.78 (global market daily closes at 00:00 UTC), the next support to watch is 62.08. Losing this level will likely open the path towards 61.34.
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๐ The Real Gamechanger: Channel Shift
What is truly significant here is that BTC.D has broken below the first channel of its 3-year-long uptrend.
๐ป As of today, BTC.D has entered the lower channel, indicating potential further downside movement.
Our analysis suggests that the 59.00 โ 60.00 levels could be tested in this scenario. These are major psychological and technical support zones, aligning with the lower boundary of the multi-year channel.
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๐ฅ Summary of Scenarios
1. If we get a daily close below 62.78 and a subsequent breakdown of 62.08:
โ BTC Dominance is likely to decline towards 61.34 and potentially 60.00.
โ This would act as a catalyst for a strong altcoin rally, especially for Ethereum and mid-cap alts.
2. If BTC.D finds support here and bounces upwards:
โ The immediate resistance zone is between 62.78 and 63.72.
โ A strong bounce could push it back towards the 64.60 level.
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๐ Final Thoughts & Market Outlook
โ The current technical structure is favorable for altcoins.
โ This channel breakdown could finally trigger the altseason weโve been anticipating.
โ However, remember: A falling BTC.D with stable or rising BTC price is ideal for altcoins. If BTC itself begins a sharp downtrend, the rally could be limited.
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๐ Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 62.78 โ 63.72 โ 64.60
Support: 62.08 โ 61.34 โ 60.00 โ 59.00
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๐ In Conclusion:
The long-awaited channel breakdown on BTC Dominance has occurred. Going forward, daily and weekly closes will be critical for altcoin portfolio strategies. I will continue to share updated insights in the next BTC.D analysis.
๐ Stay disciplined, always prioritize risk management, and never trade without a plan.
#July Market Forecast# #btc.d# #btc# #eth# #pepe#