Future Trends Forecast for the Next 10 Years


Predict some major trends and situations for the next ten years, purely for fun and entertainment, just to see the story.
1. The West is gradually decoupling, NATO is becoming increasingly irrelevant and is moving towards disintegration; the EU and the United States are increasingly breaking ties in economics, defense, and military matters, a process that will take about 5-10 years. Europe will be overwhelmed by economic downturns, energy difficulties, immigration turmoil, and political fluctuations, gradually losing the leisure and energy to assist the United States in its endeavors. Additionally, the profits and dividends given by the United States to these helpers are increasingly decreasing to zero, and it often even demands them to pay. As the situation becomes more difficult, the likelihood of this alliance falling apart and each going their separate ways is increasing.
2. Soon, even the nominal allies of the United States will only be the traditional Anglosphere Five Eyes Alliance and Israel. Japan and South Korea will gradually distance themselves from the U.S. camp within 5-10 years, and more and more countries will no longer rely on the U.S. In the next 10 years, the United States' sphere of influence will inevitably shrink back to North America, the East Pacific, and the Atlantic region.
3. However, China will not become the new global hegemon after the U.S. contraction; China will actively avoid this situation or try to delay this process as much as possible. For at least the next ten years, it will maintain its status as a geo-strategic advantage nation in East Asia, Southeast Asia, and along the Belt and Road Initiative, without overstepping boundaries. In about twenty years, the East will become the non-designated leader of actively developing constructive groups or nations in the world, and the concept of a hegemon will no longer exist in the Blue Planet.
4. The geopolitical discourse power of the Southern (BRICS) strong countries is increasingly rising, with Eastern countries, Russia, India, and Brazil each leading their own regions; the East is taking the lead in coordinating the relations between the Eastern and Western worlds and developing and developed countries (, guiding constructive affairs in the international arena.
5. The conventional manufacturing industry will not return to Europe and the United States. Low-end labor-intensive industries that rely purely on manual assembly will continue to transfer out and ultimately leave mainland China completely as the aging population in China intensifies; mid-to-high-end automated and semi-automated industries will form a long-term status dominated by China, supplemented by Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Mexico; Europe and the United States will retain a small number of high-end industries that are not easily standardized and mass-produced, such as ) materials, pharmaceuticals, sensors, instruments, traditional energy, etc., software, finance, etc. (, scientific research, and basic scientific research; even in these high-end fields, those tracks that can be standardized and mass-produced will be rapidly occupied by China within three to five years, such as chips, new energy vehicles, smart driving carriers, humanoid robots, etc.
6. In the field of artificial intelligence and humanoid robots, ) Musk's Optimus will achieve a position similar to Tesla in the electric vehicle sector. With the support of emerging advantage industries, the current situation in the U.S. where it is rapidly being surpassed and left behind by China will be alleviated to some extent. Once China fully approaches or slightly surpasses the U.S., the overall strength of both countries will maintain a certain balance over the long term. At the same time, the U.S. will also lose its ability and intention to suppress China, acknowledging the stability of the new equilibrium.
7. Due to domestic financial control requirements and independence, the progress and extent of renminbi internationalization will be slower and weaker than expected; or China intends to actively relax in the digital virtual economy regarding finance, currency, and exchange rates while having an absolute advantage in the real industry, achieving a situation where one is missing among three to reduce the intensity of the siege and confrontation period. Therefore, in the next ten to twenty years, the US dollar will still be the mainstream international currency, and the mid-term upper limit for the renminbi is to reach the current effectiveness of the euro and yen. The US dollar, euro, renminbi, and yen will continue to be mainstream for a long time, while Bitcoin will gradually become a foreign exchange reserve and a compliant alternative value circulation currency for small and medium-sized countries, especially those with weaker financial autonomy.
8. In the past decade, China has gradually caught up with the US and Europe in cutting-edge technology and basic sciences, each having its own strengths, and has gradually achieved a favorable market feedback position by leveraging its industrial capabilities and supply chain advantages.
9. Under a relatively reasonable, fair, efficient, and pragmatic cooperative development model at Dongda, humanity will master controllable nuclear fusion and further aerospace technology within the next thirty to fifty years, officially entering the era of interplanetary development and launching the 3.0 version of human development. (1.0 Agricultural era with the four ancient civilizations; 2.0 Industrial and capital era dominated by Anglo-American countries; 3.0 Interplanetary community of shared human destiny)
10. In the next ten years, ( the foreseeable future ) will not see the so-called S3, but common challenges for humanity such as pandemics, climate disasters, strong AI, and extraterrestrial events will become possible and increasingly frequent ( compared to the last few hundred years ). (
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