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August 17th Kunpeng BTC: Stop staring at the charts! The 3-stick relay pattern of the encryption bull run is exposed, can we catch the last stick?
In the world of encryption, the arrival of each bull run is like a meticulously staged performance, with a fixed plot trajectory.
Understanding this intrinsic rhythm is much more useful than staring at the K-line chart every day — it clearly tells you which sector the funds are focusing on and where you should position yourself at which point.
1. A bull run is a relay race, not a sprint that can be accomplished in one go.
Looking back at the past few market cycles, their development pace is almost identical:
First leg: BTC debuts
As the largest and most widely recognized currency in the encryption market, it often serves as the pioneer to attract institutional funds.
For this round, BTC started from around 100,000 USD at the end of last year, soaring all the way up, and now it has reached a high of over 120,000, successfully playing the role of a "market stabilizer."
Second leg: ETH takes the baton
After BTC stands firm at a high position, funds start looking for targets with greater upward elasticity, and ETH naturally becomes the best choice.
This year's ETH trend can be described as a typical emotional reversal drama: in April, it was still hovering around the low point of about 1400 USD, and when it rebounded to 2500 USD in June, it was still not favored by the market and was looked down upon. But then it surged strongly, breaking through 4300 USD, just one step away from the historical high of 4800 USD.
Third leg: Altcoins gaining momentum
Altcoins have a small market size and high volatility. Once the market starts to rally, it may experience a surge that doubles or even multiplies several times.
However, the main upward trend of altcoin markets is usually very short, lasting only 1 to 2 months. Once this window period is missed, it becomes difficult to chase the rise.
Similar to SOL, ADA, and DOT in 2021, they all experienced a significant surge in a short period after ETH consolidated at a high level.
2. The current stage of the market
Currently, BTC has steadily stood at a high position, being tested multiple times in the range of 120,000 to 130,000.
ETH has also entered a high position area and is starting to attempt to break the historical high.
The altcoin index is still hovering around 30, and most coins have not yet attracted significant capital attention, which means that the real "altcoin bull run" is still in the making.
Three, the signals for the launch of altcoin market.
ETH has successfully broken through its historical high (above 4800 USD) and has stabilized.
BTC and ETH are consolidating at high levels, with the fluctuation range gradually narrowing.
Second-tier mainstream cryptocurrencies (such as DOT and SOL) suddenly surged with a daily increase of over 10%, and this upward trend can continue for several days.
Based on historical data, once these three conditions are met simultaneously, the altcoin market rally often begins in full swing within two weeks.
Four, why wait for the rhythm to become clear
The main operating methods are actually very simple:
First, use BTC and ETH to establish market confidence and attract institutions and large investors to enter the market.
By leveraging the market sentiment of altcoins, it attracts retail investors to pour in, thus completing the sell-off.
If you put all your funds in during the BTC bull run, you will miss out on the high-yield opportunities of altcoins in the later stages.
If you only enter heavily after the altcoin market has already started, you are likely to buy at a high position and become a bag holder.
V. Conclusion
The current market is still in the phase dominated by ETH, and the peak season for altcoins has not yet truly arrived.
Next, the most important thing to pay attention to is not the daily fluctuations of BTC, but whether ETH can stabilize at a high level and whether it will drive a surge in the trading volume of second-tier mainstream coins.
When social media and news outlets are overwhelming reporting on the "altcoin doubling trend", that is when you really need to consider "exiting".
Making big money in a bull run is not about trading every day, but rather about whether you can sprint forward in the crucial leg of this relay race.