Madman's View of Trends: When speculation reaches its peak, the market tends to recede within a week.

The madman said...

Before the Internet, all items were physical and corporatized, with their value assessable by the naked eye. The value of each brand was determined through market competition; for example, the same scarf would be valuable if branded with Hermès, but not if it were a generic brand. Traditional enterprises enhance their image and value through marketing and brand packaging, ultimately gaining the trust of the world over time.

After the Internet, the world has become more virtual. When blockchain and AI are superimposed, the global digital economy trend has become more and more obvious. For the government, the benefits are self-evident. Everything is transparent, and it is very difficult for everyone to do evil. It is also very convenient for the government to manage. Therefore, the digital age will further change the world. As Crypto Assets, it is a product of the digital age itself. If Token is compared to a traditional image, you can think of it as a company, calculate its valuation and potential. For MEME coin, its existence is ethereal, and its brand value is determined by the people who package it. How the story is written, how people's Consensus on the story, and whether it can resonate will determine the height of MEME coin.

This is a development trend of 'the same old tune in a different wrapper', which will continue in the future. In the Web 1.0 era, we wrote old stories as blogs, expressed personal opinions, gained traffic, and made money. In the Web 2.0 era, we turned old stories into videos and made money. In the Web 3.0 era, we endowed old stories to Cryptocurrency, generating traffic and value.

For MEME, it's just the beginning. More stories will emerge in the future, but undoubtedly, the most old-fashioned and time-tested one will be more enduring, and Market Cap will also reach new heights. As for the next cycle, the lunatic believes it will be the AI cycle, especially with the emergence of AI Agents in this round, which is likely to be the new zone for a large-scale outbreak in the next cycle. It is too early to tell stories now. He still needs a cycle of verification. When no one is interested in the bear market, it may be more cost-effective to deploy later.

Today, the garbage coins have started to rise on the pump list, which can be described as an emotional explosion. When everyone is crazy, it's time to take a cool shower and calm down.

Whether it's a big dump or a small dip in BTC, the altcoins seem to be unaffected. This is another manifestation of exploding emotions. It's the hardest to escape the peak when everyone is going crazy because missing a day of fluctuation could mean missing a month of gains. But when real risks come, it's a wailing disaster. In just a day or two, it can wipe out the gains of the past week. Everyone has their own scale in their hearts. Will they go pick up these crazy altcoins and believe they won't be the last, or will they leave after having their fill?

I am risk averse. When I have such emotions, I will tidy up my account, throw away some junk that has completed its rise, choose to leave with some value coins, after all, in the long run, 90% of small coins will return to zero. So, in the road of long-termism, it is always correct to leave with some value at any time, just choose a comfortable space for yourself. In my experience, the current market often recedes within a week, as for the specific day, I do not know either, so let's look back at this crazy world in a week.

Disclaimer: The article represents only the author's personal opinions, not the objective viewpoint and position of Block. All content and opinions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Investors should make their own decisions and trades, and the author and Block will not be responsible for any direct or indirect losses incurred by investors in their transactions.

<【Crazy person talks about trends】When speculation reaches its peak, the market often recedes within a week.> This article was first published in Blocktempo.